NEW YORK LIBERTY VS. CHICAGO SKY ODDS AND PREDICTIONS FOR JUNE 4, 2024

Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our WNBA playoff coverage here at Latest Basketball News. One of the games on tap from tonight’s slate features the New York Liberty (7-2 SU, 2-7 ATS) taking on the Chicago Sky (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS). 

Here is a look at which squad has the edge going into this matchup and why.

Tipoff

• When: Sunday, June 4, 2024
  
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
  
• Where: Wintrust Arena
  
• Location: Chicago, IL
  
• TV: NBA TV

New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky Odds  (Via DraftKings)

New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky – In-Season Stats & Betting Trends

Can New York Push Its Winning Streak To Four Games?

New York Liberty Season Stats:

• Scoring Offense: 86.1 PPG – 3RD
  
• Offensive Rating: 109.4 Points Per 100 Possessions – 1ST
  
• Scoring Defense: 76.4 PPG – 2ND
  
• Defensive Rating: 97.2 Points Per 100 Possessions – 4TH 

Following back-to-back losses to the Chicago Sky on May 23 and the Minnesota Lynx on May 25, the Liberty have posted wins in each of their last three outings. 

This includes a 104-68 rout of the Indiana Fever. First, this was the Liberty’s third victory over the Fever this season. Second, this was the second time in which the margin of victory exceeded 30 points. Betnijah Laney-Hamilton led four starters who reached double figures with 20 points on 7-for-9 shooting to go along with five assists. 

Jonquel Jones added 18 points, 13 boards, and four times, while Sabrina Ionescu finished with 16 points, six rebounds, and six assists for a Liberty squad that excelled at both ends of the floor. Offensively, New York shot 57.6 percent from the field and 44 percent from beyond the arc.

Defensively, they limited the Fever to 37 percent shooting overall and just 25 percent from the 3-point line. New York also limited Caitlin Clark to a season-low three points on 1-for-10 shooting. 

Chicago Looking To Bounce Back From Disappointing Loss To Fever

Chicago Sky Season Stats:

• Scoring Offense: 79.3 PPG – 8TH
  
• Offensive Rating: 100.3 Points Per 100 Possessions – 8TH
  
• Scoring Defense: 78.4 PPG – 4TH
  
• Defensive Rating: 99.2 Points Per 100 Possessions – 5TH 

Meanwhile, the Chicago Sky have had an up and down season thus far. After winning two of their first three contests, they have posted three losses across their last four outings. This includes a narrow 71-70 loss to an Indiana Fever team that had dropped eight of its first nine games. 

Marina Mabrey paced the team’s offense with 15 points and grabbed nine rebounds. Dana Evans added 12 points, four rebounds, and four assists. Although Chicago trailed by a double-digit margin in the final frame (68-58), they produced a 12-3 run that trimmed the deficit to one point, but they ultimately came up short. 

Now that we have set the stage for this showdown, let’s examine the betting trends for both sides. 

The Picks

The Spread

Riding the wave of a three-game winning streak, the Liberty come into this match as a 6.5-point favorite (per Lineups.com). Here is a look at how both teams have fared against the spread this season. 

• The Liberty are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
• New York is 1-5 ATS in its last six road contests.
• The Liberty are 2-5 ATS in its last seven matchups against the Sky.
• In its last six road outings against Chicago, New York is 2-3-1 against the spread.
• The Sky are 4-2 ATS in their last six contests.
• Chicago has covered the spread five times in their last seven home games.

Prediction: New York Liberty (-6.5)

Over/Under

The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 163 points (per 365scores.com). Here is why going with the “over” is the smart choice. 

• The total has gone OVER 15 times in the Liberty’s last 22 games.
• The OVER total is 6-2 in New York’s last eight road contests.
• In the Liberty’s last 13 road outings against Chicago, the OVER total cashed in nine times.

Prediction: OVER 163 points

Player Prop Bets

Breanna Stewart – who is a two-time WNBA champion, a two-time Finals MVP, and a two-time regular-season MVP as well – is the key player to watch in this matchup. She currently has -110 odds of scoring more than 20.5 points and -120 odds of finishing with less than 20.5 points. 

Here is a look at how her numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup. 

• Stewart is averaging 17.9 points per contest through the first nine games of the season.
• The two-time champion has played against Eastern Conference teams six times this season. In those contests, she has averaged 18.7 points per game. 
• In three road games this season, she is averaging 19.7 points per contest.
• Over her last five outings, she is averaging 16.4 points and 10.0 rebounds per outing, failing to exceed the points total for this matchup during that stretch.

Prediction: Breanna Stewart UNDER 20.5 points

On the other side of this matchup, Marina Mabrey – who leads the team in both scoring and assists — is the key player to watch for the Chicago Sky. She currently has -140 odds of scoring more than 14.5 points and +110 odds of finishing with less than 14.5 points. 

Do Mabry’s numbers favorably compare to the points total for this contest? Let’s take a look at the tale of the tape to find out. 

• Mabry is averaging 17.0 points per contest through the first seven games of the season. 
• In three matchups against Eastern Conference opponents, 19.7 PPG.
• Mabry has appeared in three home games for the Sky this season, averaging 16.7 points per outing. 
• Across her last five outings, Mabry is averaging 17.2 points and 6.2 rebounds per contest, exceeding the points total for this matchup four times during that stretch. 

Prediction: Marina Mabry OVER 14.5 points

James Tillman’s New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky Picks

• The Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5) Lineups.com’
• Over/Under: OVER 163 points (365scores.com)
• Player Prop Bet #1: Breanna Stewart UNDER 20.5 points
• Player Prop Bet #2: Marina Mabry OVER 14.5 points